From population figures to operational decisions

A population forecast describes how the number of residents in different age groups will change. To translate it into decisions on facilities and staffing, an intermediate step is needed — estimating capacity needs — which takes into account participation rates, demographics and the municipality's own planning assumptions. 

The analysis can be produced for the whole municipality and broken down by sub-area or catchment area.

What we can do

• Estimate capacity needs for preschool, compulsory school or elderly care

• Breakdown by sub-area or catchment area where relevant

• Comparison with current capacity in terms of premises and staffing, identifying any gaps

• The option to use your own assumptions on participation rates and allocation keys

Capacity needs estimates are usually produced annually once the population forecast is ready, and serve as a basis for budgeting, facilities plans and investment decisions. They can also be produced as part of an analysis of different future scenarios.