Build your planning on solid ground

A population forecast forms the basis for budgeting and planning across large parts of a municipality's operations. It is therefore important that it is realistic and based on established, well-proven methods. Statisticon has provided Swedish municipalities with population forecasts for over 25 years. We offer support from start to finish, from assessing which type of population forecast best suits your needs to answering questions after delivery.

Want to know more or get a quote?

Select your forecast options and send a quote request. Click the arrow for more information about each option. Not sure which type of forecast suits you best? You're welcome to send a request for more information without making any selections in the form.

Choose forecast type

Choose the option that best suits your municipality. We'll help you choose if you're unsure.

If you choose both a trend-based and a housing-based forecast, one of them will be quoted as an alternative scenario.

Always included in the forecast

The forecast covers a ten-year period from the year the forecast is produced, with annual figures for each year of the forecast horizon. Ten years strikes a balance between usability and uncertainty — long enough to support facilities planning and budget planning, yet short enough to ensure the assumptions remain robust. If you need a longer time horizon, you can add the ‘Extended forecast horizon’ option.

We always deliver a finished presentation with charts and summary comments. The material is formatted so that it can be shared with politicians, municipal staff and the public without further editing.

Our delivery platform makes it easy to download all the tables you need. These include tables with common breakdowns, such as by age group and sex, tables based on divisions commonly used in municipal planning, and detailed statistics that allow you to process the data yourself.

Every order includes a kick-off meeting where we go through the forecasting method, discuss what may affect your municipality's forecast, and talk about how different events in your municipality could influence future developments. Of course, we are also available before and after delivery to answer any questions.

Add-ons

Supplement the standard forecast with deep dives, presentations or further analysis.

The forecast horizon can be extended, which is typically done by 5 to 10 years. This is useful for long-term facilities planning, infrastructure planning and investment decisions. Forecasts with a longer time horizon can be used to explore different scenarios. The extended horizon is delivered with data tables and a presentation.

Who are the people moving to your municipality? To understand what drives migration patterns, knowing how many people move into and out of the municipality is not always enough. An in-depth analysis gives you a better understanding of the socioeconomic background of both those moving into and those moving out of your municipality.

In 2027, all customers who order a population forecast are offered a population movement analysis at a discounted price.

Order an online or in-person presentation of the population forecast for officials or politicians. We tailor the presentation to the audience, whether it is senior management, a committee or the municipal council. The aim is to communicate the forecast results to the key audiences in an independent, fact-based and accessible way. We explain the assumptions, the method and what the figures actually mean, and answer questions on the spot — it's a good way to establish a shared understanding of the forecast.

Alternative development trajectories in addition to the main forecast. Add alternative scenarios beyond the main forecast — for example effects of a new detailed development plan, higher or lower migration, or a specific event affecting population change. A common approach is to compare 2—3 alternative scenarios with the main forecast. We are happy to discuss what would suit you best. 

We offer a monthly monitoring report on the current year's forecast, starting when half-year data is published. This is a useful add-on when there are uncertainties in the forecast that may require the municipality to adjust its planning on an ongoing basis.

We can also carry out a more systematic review of previous population forecasts and analyse their accuracy. 

For many municipalities it is important to be able to create new breakdowns and groupings of the existing forecast themselves, without having to order a completely new forecast each time. With our easy-to-use digital tools, you can set up new geographical breakdowns, construction scenarios and age groups yourself – and then download the forecast based on the new breakdown straight away!

Finished making your selections?

Send a quote request or a request for more information, and we'll get back to you as soon as we can.

Want to create the forecast yourself?

Statisticon has developed Prodemos, a tool that lets you, as the person responsible, produce the population forecast yourself.